HailSignal
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How HailSignal works

From radar to the alert on your phone in five steps. Confidence describes the supporting evidence, separately from hail size and possible damage.

1

Collecting, around the clock

We process available radar data, official warnings, satellite lightning data and ground reports. Coverage explains the areas, approved sources and Swiss hail season.

2

Detecting suspicion C1

From the radar data we compute where hail is likely and – where the source allows – how large the stones are. Every suspicious cell is tracked over time – that yields a storm track with direction and speed. This is level C1: a substantiated suspicion. Nothing is reported yet.

3

Assessing radar evidence C2

Sufficient radar evidence can already support C2. A matching official hail warning or lightning jump can also raise an initial suspicion to C2. This is not yet ground evidence. Each alert states its reasoning.

4

Confirming on the ground C3 · C4

“Very likely” requires an observation from the ground, such as a verified official spotter report. In Germany, two independent reports from the German Weather Service’s WarnWetter app count for this; nobody checks them individually. And “confirmed” is not granted by us but by four independent users who were on site.

5

Alerting – and staying honest

You get the alert on your channels as soon as the evidence holds – with location, storm track, hail size and confidence level. We check every 5 minutes; there is no fixed delivery time. And if the evidence no longer supports an event, you get an all-clear. We only report what the evidence chain really holds – better one alert less than one wrong one.

The confidence ladder at a glance

Level Meaning Evidence
C1possible a single radar signal
C2likely sufficient radar evidence, or radar suspicion with matching warning/lightning evidence
C3very likely + ground observation (Germany: two WarnWetter app reports)
C4confirmed + four independent users on site
Our standard: size and certainty are two separate figures. You see both – how big the hail is estimated to be and how sure we are; in Germany, size is given as “(large) hail possible”. So you decide on facts, not gut feeling.
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